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Six weeks of unsustainable SH% for four Rangers

NYPOST.COM

The Rangers were absolutely decimated by injuries in October and November, at one point skating without their top line center and four of their top-six defensemen. When you’re dressing options seven, eight, nine, and ten on the blue line, you need better contributions from those in the lineup. Luckily for the Rangers, four guys stepped up their games offensively to fill the void. Rick Nash (12-6-18), Derick Brassard (6-7-13), Martin St. Louis (6-6-12), and Kevin Klein (3-2-5) were major contributors in keeping the Rangers afloat.

Nash has been a force all season, looking like the Rick Nash the Rangers traded for in 2012. MSL has been contributing at his normal career pace despite playing a good number of the games at center this year. Brassard has shown great chemistry with them as well, looking like that $5 million center they re-signed in the offseason. As for Klein, he’s never cracked the five goal mark in a season, and he looks to be well on his way this year.

But these four players have one thing in common – unsustainable SH%, that is surely to regress as the season bears on.

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BSB FanDuel: 11/14

Here is the info for today’s FanDuel league: Sign up here, the league link is here.

For those unfamiliar with Fanduel, you are given $55,000 to construct a team of 2 LW, 2 RW, 2 C, 2 D, and 1 G. The goal is to find some good bargains (my advice is to save money on defense and spend big on offense) and save money for some stars you know will put up points. High fantasy points per game (FPG) with low cost is a good way to go, but look for streaks as well (for example. Johnny Boychuck is not going to continue at his pace).

Rotowire has a lineup optimizer, as does DangleFactory. They are good resources if this intrigues you, but you’re new to daily fantasy sports.

As always, if the league fills up before you can get in, let me know in the comments. I leave the league size at 10 people for now to ensure it fills up. If there is more interest, I will expand the size as this continues.

How hard is regression going to hit Cam Talbot?

Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

Bruce Bennett/Getty Images

There was a time last season that Henrik Lundqvist was playing so poorly, and Cam Talbot was playing so well, that a very small but very vocal segment of the fan base was calling for a change at the number one spot. Imagine that. Crazy, right? But, it happened. Small sample sizes can do wacky things to people’s perceptions. Talbot had a phenomenal 2013-2014 season, but has struggled so far (relatively speaking) in the new campaign.

Last year, Talbot ended the season with a 1.64 GAA and a .941 save percentage in 21 games played. If he had put up those numbers over a starter’s workload, he would have run away with the Vezina. We all knew (hopefully) that these flawed metrics, although nice to see from our backup, were not reflective of his true talent level. In fairness, they aren’t reflective of anyone’s true talent level.

In 4 games so far this season, Talbot’s GAA has ballooned to 3.48 and his save percentage has slid to .880. Neither of those numbers are particularly pretty. I’ve seen comments on the Twitters and other social media about how hard regression is hitting Talbot, which naturally begs the question: what is the mean he is regressing to?

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Tomas Kaberle officially inks PTO

The Hartford Wolf Pack have officially signed defenseman Tomas Kaberle to a professional tryout. It was reported yesterday that Kaberle reported to the Pack to play in a few games this weekend. The PTO is a formality that allows that to happen. Kaberle is not signed to an NHL deal yet.

Rangers manage a point, lose in shootout to Colorado

Photo by Jared Silber/NHLI via Getty Images

Photo by Jared Silber/NHLI via Getty Images

The New York Rangers managed to grab a point against the Colorado Avalanche, but were downed in the shootout by a score of 4-3. New York didn’t come out particularly strong in the game, getting dominated by the Avs and trailing after the period. But then the Rangers found the same gear they had in the Pittsburgh game, and came roaring back to take a 3-2 lead into the third period. A Jesper Fast penalty put the kibosh on that pretty quickly though.

Henrik Lundqvist didn’t face a ton of shots, but had to make some good saves throughout the game against a very talented lineup. The Rangers, who had ten players finish with a point in the 5-0 rout of Pittsburgh on Thursday, had eight players finish with a point in this contest. They didn’t have a strong first period, but rebounded nicely for the final 40 minutes of regulation. Worth noting: Dan Boyle looked very, very good in this game. Wait until he has two fully functional hands and a few games to shake off the rust.

On to the goals:

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Game 16: Dan Boyle returns against Colorado

Photo: Nick Laham/Getty Images North America

Photo: Nick Laham/Getty Images North America

Two days after blowing out the Pittsburgh Penguins, the pretty bad Colorado Avalanche are in town after being blown out by the New York Islanders. The Avs fall from grace was predicted by everyone who has some grasp of #fancystats, but they are still a pretty talented team that can put pucks in the net. However, they can’t play defense and are one of the worst possession teams in the league.

On the ice, the Avs run a very aggressive style of play. On the forecheck it is a straight 2-1-2 without sitting on leads. In the defensive zone, the Avs play man-on-man down low with the defense and center, while the wingers play zone. On special teams, the Avs run a 1-3-1 power play and a hybrid penalty kill depending on puck location.

Rangers lineup:

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BSB FanDuel: 11/13

Here is the info for today’s FanDuel league: Sign up here, the league link is here.

For those unfamiliar with Fanduel, you are given $55,000 to construct a team of 2 LW, 2 RW, 2 C, 2 D, and 1 G. The goal is to find some good bargains (my advice is to save money on defense and spend big on offense) and save money for some stars you know will put up points. High fantasy points per game (FPG) with low cost is a good way to go, but look for streaks as well (for example. Johnny Boychuck is not going to continue at his pace).

Rotowire has a lineup optimizer, as does DangleFactory. They are good resources if this intrigues you, but you’re new to daily fantasy sports.

Musing the Rangers: Getting defensive

Should the Rangers play Boyle tonight? Bruce Bennett/Getty Images North America

Should the Rangers play Boyle tonight? Bruce Bennett/Getty Images North America

Fresh off a dominant victory over the offensive juggernaut that are the Pens, things appear slightly rosier in Rangerland. Tonight, the Rangers have to cope with another offensively skilled team when the Avalanche comes to town. Let’s discuss the goings-on in Rangerland.

What to do with Duclair? I know I’m in the minority but I think I would send Duclair back to juniors. I would rather see him playing 20 minutes a night in Junior and dominating. Once the Rangers are back to full strength I think a guy like Jesper Fast would be better suited to a bottom six role and help the Rangers return to their identity of being a difficult team to play against.

I have Rick Nash in both my fantasy teams. I am very happy about this.

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Rangers place Mike Kostka on waivers

The New York Rangers have placed defenseman Mike Kostka on waivers, as Dan Boyle is set to replace him in the lineup. Kostka’s stint in the lineup, first game and pair of epic turnovers aside, wasn’t terrible. He was a sub-50% possession player in 57% OZ starts, but he’s the 8D on the depth chart, so expectations are a part of why I say “wasn’t terrible.”

I doubt he gets claimed, so he’s likely Hartford bound.

Lineup notes: Dan Boyle returns, Anthony Duclair still sitting

Per Sean Hartnett, the only lineup change being made tonight will be Dan Boyle returning to the lineup, replacing Mike Kostka. Likely riding the 5-0 win on Tuesday night, coach Alain Vigneault did not make any changes to his forward lines, which means Anthony Duclair will again be a scratch.

Sooner or later, I’m going to get the Duclair-Kevin Hayes-Lee Stempniak third line and Carl Haglein-Dominic Moore-Jesper Fast fourth line that I desperately want.

Also, Tomas Kaberle will report to the Hartford Wolf Pack for a few games this weekend. He will need to sign a PTO first.