A Star in the Making? A Breakdown of Brady Skjei’s Upside

Skjei’s development has been critical to the Rangers long term future.

Ah…..Brady Skjei….the name that possesses a vowels to consonant ratio that can only be rivaled by Red Wings’ forward Martin Frk. The young whippersnapper represents the bridge between the murky present of the current team and a potentially brighter future built around youth and potential. The question is how good can Skjei really be, and have we seen enough to declare him a cornerstone of a franchise that can carry a team to the cup?

The answer, as you might expect is not very cut and dry. Skjei enjoyed a breakout last year. His 39 points in 80 games put him in the top 20 over the past decade of any defenseman in their age 22 season.

When looking at Weighted Shot Differential (explained in my previous post on Kevin Shattenkirk), Skjei held up well relative to the average competition he faced, although he was a bit behind other under-23 defensemen.

In fact, the biggest worry that a Rangers fan might have about Skjei is that he broke into the league rather late, which means we might have already seen the best of what he can bring from an offensive standpoint (most offense based stats, including game score, trend downward relatively early in a players career).

However, looking at players who had a comparable game score at Brady’s age and using a projection of his future game score, we can get an understanding of both his ceiling and his floor over the next five years. On one end, we see players such as Drew Doughty representing Skjei’s best case scenario, while uninspiring depth defensemen like Kris Russel and Marc Methot represent his floor.

Most ironically, the closest comparison to Skjei’s projection is Ryan McDonagh, and I’m sure Rangers fans will have no problem if Brady ends up following in #27’s footsteps.

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10 thoughts on “A Star in the Making? A Breakdown of Brady Skjei’s Upside

  • Dec 13, 2017 at 6:22 am

    Remember when Ranger fans were calling this guy a “bust” after he was picked in the first round? Remember?

    Good times…

    • Dec 13, 2017 at 7:10 am

      Oh the value of first round picks!!!!!!! Let’s never trade them away again…..

      • Dec 13, 2017 at 9:59 am

        I lean towards the position that you keep first round picks unless you are getting a real good young player like a Trouba or an elite player still in there prime. Then I would consider moving a first round pick otherwise its not usually worth it.

        • Dec 13, 2017 at 5:24 pm

          Yep, basically.

      • Dec 13, 2017 at 5:24 pm

        Yep you have to have them to pick but then you have to pick well. Brady at 28th was a very good pick.

    • Dec 14, 2017 at 12:39 pm

      Trade McDonagh before dead line pick up assets move on!

      • Dec 14, 2017 at 5:54 pm

        This idea is picking p steam isn’t it?

  • Dec 13, 2017 at 8:07 am

    He’s 23. He’s not 26. So he should be trending up.

    Considering he has been put with anchors till now he has fared very well.

    He has more than enough raw skills. Fluid skater, soft hands and good passer, decent shot , could be a bit harder on the checking but it’s nothing I would consider a glaring flaw in his game.

    I’m excited about his development this year skating next to shatty.

    Now you want to talk about somebody who might have hit their ceiling. Look at Kreider. Not saying he is bad, but not what we expected.

    • Dec 13, 2017 at 8:25 am

      Agree on Krieder.

      As far as Skjei goes, he is a great talent, but may be replaceable with some of the kids at Hartford. I wouldn’t actively look to move him, but if someone comes knocking with a ridiculous offer, you would have to consider it.

      I think Hayes and JT have a lot to prove this year. Being a few years older than Skjei, it is time to see who they really are.

  • Dec 13, 2017 at 3:01 pm

    Hasn’t he been playing quite a bit with Shattenkirk this season? Sorry but I haven’t seen some of the recent games. If so, I would argue he has achieved this with a weak defensive partner and with defense as his main priority (rather than jumping in on the play). If the Rangers ever pair him with a solid defensive partner I think his stats and peripherals will improve dramatically.

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