Blue Seat Bookie: 12.13.22 – Capitals Cover, Vegas Wins, Tampa over; Plus a bonus DFS pick

The Blue Seat Bookie has the Capitals covering the spread tonight.

Another week, another great opportunity to wager on the NHL. With a 12 game slate on Tuesday, there are lots of betting options to choose from. Let’s highlight a few that look extremely possible and promising. Plus Dave is adding some DFS hockey picks at the end.

Define the Great Money Line: Record 2-5

Vegas Golden Knights defeat the Winnipeg Jets +115

As self-deprecating as I am, this prop has definitely been the struggle to find a good streak of picks and I’ll admit I’ve absolutely flubbed on previous picks. This one I am more confident for mainly two reasons.

  1. Mark Stone is still a tremendous hockey player and still has the skill to lead his team to victories,
  2. The surprisingly good goalie depth of the Golden Knights.

When it was announced Robin Lehner would be missing the entire year for his injuries, nearly everyone wrote off the Golden Knights because of the question mark of goaltending. Through 30 games, that is no longer an issue as they are firmly in first in the Pacific division. While the Knights will be going up against Connor Hellebuyck for this game, even he can put up a bad performance. See his previous game against the Washington Capitals.

Vegas is missing Jack Eichel and Alex Pietrangelo, but I give the edge to the Knights on this one. They have much better systems that they have bought into with Bruce Cassidy and he should be getting some serious coach of the year votes because of the Knights banking wins with some serious personnel injured.

The +115 odds seems too good on this.

Pull up the Covers: Record 4-3

Washington Capitals cover the Chicago Blackhawks -1.5 +115

This pick didn’t seem too difficult to pick, and it moved to +115 to +125 last night, showing Vegas is in sync. The Blackhawks are the Blackhawks. They are a rebuilding team, with some aging and young players alike, trying to just get through the season and win the Connor Bedard sweepstakes.

As for the Capitals, they are still trying to remain a playoff team and get Alex Ovechkin to the goal record. In his career, Ovechkin is a point per game player against the Blackhawks lifetime with 11 goals and 11 assists in 21 games. Would not be a bad prop bet to place as well depending on what the odds are that he register at least a point.

Back on point, the Capitals are getting healthier, and their players are playing much better hockey in this little 4-game win streak they have going on. While Ovechkin is not scoring the go ahead goals, or even goals on the power play in this stretch, he is scoring the empty net daggers and inching closer and closer to history. He’s bound to fire one home on the power play soon enough. The scoring depth of the Capitals is picking up the load and delivering timely goals to secure some much needed wins.

Overs orĀ Unders: Record 4-3

Seattle Kraken and Tampa Bay Lightning over 6 -120

Despite the Seattle Kraken averaging 4.1 goals a game in their last 10, I guess the oddsmakers are expecting a defensive gem from both of these high power offenses. But this is the new-age NHL and it is hilarious how it seems no goalie can make a save this season. Games are hitting the over left and right. I think this is yet another that finds that luck.

It’s no secret that the Kraken upgraded their roster to put the puck in the net this season. Those moves, plus the emergence of Matty Beniers have made them a force to be reckoned with offensively. Their goaltending is bad, with starter Phillipp Grubauer rocking a .882 SV%, mostly due to a bad penalty kill.

This should be a high scoring game. The Lightning are playing much better of late and it’s likely to be Andrei Vasilevskiy in net, but Seattle is too skilled for this to be a low scoring affair.

Dave’s DFS picks of the night

For those who don’t know, Dave does pretty well with DFS, and has been in the green this year on DFS hockey. His picks are geared towards large field tournaments, combining a high floor and high ceiling. The theory behind his lineup decisions is to stack top lines/powerplay units from high scoring teams with expected high goal totals (implied lives).

Top stack: TOR1 – Bunting ($4,200)-Matthews ($9,100)-Nylander ($6,600). Total: $19,900

Toronto comes into the night with the highest implied live (4.7) against a bad Ducks team on the second of a back to back that just got shutout the night before in Ottawa. Anaheim is very bad, and Toronto’s top line should feast. They are an expensive trio, but Matthews and Nylander play on PP1 as well, giving you added ice time. The price may keep people off them, meaning you can pay up to be contrarian in large fields.

Goalie pick: Charlie Lindgren ($8,100)

This assumes Lindgren, who is projected to start, gets the nod. As Tyler mentioned above, Washington is heating up and getting healthy. Lindgren has been sneaky good with a .910 SV%, and the Caps as a team have allowed no more than 2 goals in each of their last 4 games. Chicago doesn’t shoot much, but Lindgren still has a high floor with the likely win, and may even get the shutout.

Lindgren is likely the chalk goalie tonight, but he’s good chalk.

Follow Tyler on Twitter @TylerRichard93

Disclaimer: Lines and odds from BetMGM as of 1:30PM on 12/13/22. Odds and lines subject to change. DFS options subject to change based on game time decisions, starting goalie news, or unexpected lineup changes. Dave and Tyler may change bets based on new odds and information that becomes available after article is published. If you choose to partake, please gamble responsibly and within your means! If you or anyone you know has a gambling addiction, please seek help. Gambling is only legal in the US for those 21 years of age and older.

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