As it becomes more and more likely that the NHL’s salary cap will remain flat at $81.5 million, players hitting free agency are not going to be happy. For the Rangers, that means the initial contract projections for Tony DeAngelo and Ryan Strome will likely come down. The question is how much.
Again our friends at Evolving Hockey have their salary cap models, which are some of the best out there. They are rarely wrong, and when they are it’s because they missed on the term, not the dollars.
For Strome, who was projected to get $7 million on a long term deal at the $84 million cap, the numbers come down a bit, but not significantly. EW’s model originally had the most likely scenario for Strome at eight years at a $7.6 million cap hit, with the second most likely scenario a five year deal at a $6 million cap hit. Five and eight year deals are still the most likely scenarios here, but with lower cap hits.
- 1 year, $4.75 million (3% chance of happening)
- 2 years, $4.945 million (4% chance of happening)
- 3 years, $5.9 million (9%)
- 4 years, $5.7 million (8%)
- 5 years, $5.8 million (25%)
- 6 years, $6.6 million (17%)
- 7 years, $6.4 million (3%)
- 8 years, $7.4 million (31%)
Strome (26 years old) is arbitration eligible, so the Blueshirts still have that option of him being awarded a one-year deal and just sticking to that number, likely around $4.5 million-$5 million. However if both sides want a long term deal, this is what we are looking at because the deal would cover a large amount of UFA years. Considering what some other forwards are signed for, and how Strome had more points this season, it’s a logical assumption to make. However given some of the risks, it makes you wonder if he’s worth that kind of deal.
As for DeAngelo, his projections come down slightly too. Originally most likely to get a five year deal at around $5.88 million, his most likely scenario is still five years, but at $5.7 million. The Strome contract projections have been very high and have rubbed people the wrong way, but the DeAngelo projections are much more palatable.
- 1 year, $3.7 million (4% chance of happening)
- 2 years, $4.3 million (11%)
- 3 years, $5.3 million (8%)
- 4 years, $5 million (8%)
- 5 years, $5.7 million (34%)
- 6 years, $6 million (13%)
- 7 years, $6.1 million (7%)
- 8 years, $6.8 million (11%)
DeAngelo (24 years old) is also arbitration eligible, with one and two year options available. This gives the Rangers the option of kicking the can down the road again, but I don’t see that happening. Trading Brady Skjei essentially freed up that cap space for DeAngelo, and it appears he is their biggest priority this offseason.