Oct
23

The Rangers are due for an offensive outburst

October 23, 2017, by
rick nash

Photo: Jim McIsaac/Newsday

The Rangers finally won in regulation for what felt like the first time all season. There is some hope, as they of course won. But the process wasn’t the best. I’m on the “two points is two points” side of things, as a team with this fragile a psyche needs any points they can get. Hopefully process follows.

While the Rangers have been bad, they’ve also been fairly “unlucky.” A skilled team, the Rangers have shot around 9% over the past few seasons (at even strength). This has to do with the skill level, but also is a by-product of Alain Vigneault’s counter attacking system in the neutral zone. When executed properly, it leads to higher quality scoring chances.

Execution is certainly lacking. That we know. However there comes a point where even with failing execution, shooting percentage will still balance out. The Rangers have too many skilled forwards for it not to. And therein lies one of the “glass half full” ideologies. The Rangers are shooting 6.5% at even strength, which is in the bottom-tenth of the league. They were under 5% before the Nashville game too, where they scored four times on just 15 shots.

Perhaps that Nashville game was one of the scoring outbursts that is going to take place, but there will be a balancing effect on the Rangers’ shooting percentage. They will start scoring. They are too skilled not to, and prior history –even without Derek Stepan– shows us they will.

However don’t be mistaken. A scoring outburst doesn’t necessarily mean the Rangers have turned the corner. Scoring without process subsides back to normal levels. Hockey is a delicate balance of process and results. Sometimes you get results without process. Sometimes you get process without results. The former gets you in trouble, though, and that’s where the Rangers are lacking.

I, for one, am looking forward to the offensive outburst. The Rangers need a confidence boost. Hopefully with that comes more focus on process, which breeds more consistent and sustainable results. A lot of pieces need to fall into place for that. But for now, let’s enjoy the offensive outburst if/when it comes.

"The Rangers are due for an offensive outburst", 5 out of 5 based on 2 ratings.
Categories : Analysis

15 comments

  1. Richter1994 says:

    Dave, I would agree with this but the quality of their shots is lacking. If you take a million shots that hit the goalie in the chest/stomach area, then their shooting % will not increase.

    Plus they are way too pass happy. There’s not a shot that they wouldn’t pass up on the ice. That includes all of them except for Zib and Nash. I don’t know how many dead on shots in the slot they pass up, and usually to pass to a teammate that is on the side of the net with no angle to shoot.

    GO TO THE NET. That will increase their shooting %.

    • Walt says:

      Well stated. I for one hope they all start shooting first, rather than the pass first mindset……………..One question to you, or anyone else, do you think that with the consistent line changes, and really zero chemistry to speak of, has anything to do with the lack of scoring???

      • Richter1994 says:

        Lack of elite talent.

        • MRichter35 says:

          my biggest complaint about the forwards over the years – no shooters!

          • Richter1994 says:

            No shooters for sure (Tarasenko would have been nice) but you can also score goals by, oh what’s that called? Screening the goalie.

            How many deflections do the Rangers get for goals? Not many.

            “One and done” that’s the Ranger forwards’ motto.

  2. SalMerc says:

    They need 3 periods of quality hockey.
    Funny how Vesey, who always plays the same banging game, all of a sudden is on a good line. Not anything new that if you use your body, space opens up for others. Hayes can use the space as he doesn’t release that quickly.
    Chris K needs to do more with and without the puck.
    Still think they are searching for another forward.

  3. Rangers Rock says:

    I’m in the mood for some knuckle draggers.
    Fasth touches the puck and Hays goes end to end and scores a beautiful goal.
    Then the coach talks about how great Fasth is.
    I’m not even sure Fasth scored, I think the defender pushed it in. I could be wrong.
    The Hays haters will hate.
    The Fasth haters are right. I think I am the only one and I do not care.
    It is an enigma that Fasth is doing well. They are scoring on that line despite Fasth.

  4. Ranger17 says:

    Here is a thought how would a trade with VGKs Pavelik for Lindberg sound . VGKs have both goalies on IR , We can develop one of our many goalies in the system up with the big club . We do need help down the middle and no one is going to help us out unless they are in trouble as is VGKs are in right now .
    What do you think

    • Walt says:

      Ranger

      Sounds great, but can’t be done according to the expansion rules. We can trade for Lindberg next season, but not this season……..

  5. Mintgecko says:

    How many articles will Dave include Stepan in? He’s the Yotes problem now…

    I think Hayes could explode with how San JoSe has played so far this season. If any top lines starts sleeping than he will expose you. If a coach thinks that their 3rd pair is good enough to roll with them than he will expose them as well. I either sense that he will have a couple NHL highlight reel passes or will score some goal on the PK.

    I also hope to see the 4th line show some life and play like they don’t want to get demoted or traded yes that includes Grabner.

  6. Ranger17 says:

    We don’t have a 4th line right now

  7. Eddie!Eddie!Eddie! says:

    I think Dave’s article is on the money—with a caveat. Last year, our offense exploded early in the season. But then month after month, it got worse and worse. By mid-February, our offensive output diminished significantly, and the rest of the season and playoffs, our offense scared no one and became a very beatable .500 level team.

    Now, no Stepan or Lindberg. Our center depth is compromised. We lack forward depth in general, so much so that AV’s best lineup is an 11F/7D approach. And our lineup lacks true finishers. Add it all up, and there is significant reason to worry here.

    I think we will get better, but I’m not so sure if we will see what we saw in the first half of last season on any kind of consistent basis.

    • Walt says:

      E3

      Could it be that other teams made their adjustments to our scheme, while AV hasn’t changed his offensive approach???? I’ll agree that me miss Oscar more than people ever thought we would, but the other guy, not so my man……..

      • Eddie!Eddie!Eddie! says:

        Walt, in fairness, sure it could be that. It also could be that we simply regressed to what we have often been, a team that has trouble finishing on scoring chances. Which is pretty much what we’ve been for a decade now. I just don’t think we are that good and we were mislead by the fast start last year…especially Grabner who was unconscious early and then regressed badly after that.

        On Stepan, we will have to agree to disagree. I am totally with you that it was in the Rangers best interest to move on from Stepan because of the NMC. But I disagree with the notion we don’t miss him or it’s “addition by substraction”. I am absolutely convinced that if we stil had Stepan, we’d have a few more wins right now. So in the short term we have taken a hit. Long term, we should be better off IF we find someone to replace him. So far we have not.

        • Walt says:

          E3

          Fair enough, we’ll disagree on Daisy, like we never disagreed before right????? LOR