Following up on our post last week regarding the Evander Kane “trade rumor”, I decided to see what a Winnipeg Jets blogger would want in exchange for Kane. I reached out to Arctic Ice Hockey for a few reasons, but mostly because they are Jets bloggers who are very familiar with advanced metrics. After all, that blog used to be the BTN blog before the Thrashers moved to Winnipeg.
Let’s start with what Kane is. He is one of the very few 20-year old 30-goal scorers. The list of players who have accomplished the feat is rather short and filled with big names, of which most are Hall of Fame caliber players. The one notable exception is Eric Daze, but he’s the exception to the rule.
When I initially wrote about Kane, I mentioned that the cost would likely start at a young roster player, a top prospect, and a pick. When speaking with AIH (full conversation here), we agreed that the quality of the players would really drive the cost. For the Rangers, I started off with Carl Hagelin (scoring LW who plays solid defense), Brady Skjei (top prospect), and a first round pick (theoretical, as we are aware the Rangers don’t have one this year). It’s an offer that I believe to be on the low side, and AIH agreed.
After some back-and-forth about the price, we agreed in principle that a deal without Chris Kreider, Derek Stepan, or J.T. Miller would require another prospect going to Winnipeg. The package settled on was Hagelin, Skjei, and Christian Thomas and a pick for Kane and Paul Postma. Postma is their #2 defensive prospect, but at the age of 23 still has some defensive flaws to work out.
Once the discussion led to a second top prospect from the Rangers’ system heading to Winnipeg, the package coming back had to include more than just Kane. Postma is a guy that, for Winnipeg, fits the bill of a “plus” in a trade discussion.
So to summarize the deal:
To NYR: Evander Kane, Paul Postma
To WIN: Carl Hagelin, Brady Skjei, Christian Thomas, 1st round pick