Where the defense prospects stand

Before Friday’s draft it’s a good idea to take stock of what the Rangers already have in the system.  If New York follows suit, then the Blueshirts will pick the best player available regardless of position.  However, it’s worth evaluating where the team’s strengths lie. Kevin evaluated the forwards, so let’s look at the defense.

Tim Erixon

Erixon has been met with a lot of hype since the Rangers stole him (along with what turned out to be Shane McColgan) from Calgary for two second round picks and Roman Horak last year. After two successful seasons with Skelleftea HC in the SEL, Erixon came over to the NHL and was expected to make the club without any time in the AHL, which is exactly what happened. That said, Erixon struggled during his first NHL stint in October, finishing with no points and a -3 rating in nine games before being sent to the Connecticut Whale. Those nine games would be Erixon’s longest stint with the big club, but all was not lost. Erixon dominated the AHL, finishing with 33 points (3-30-33) in 42 games). The Swede is as NHL ready as you can get. Barring a major setback, he should be a Ranger next fall.

Dylan McIlrath

The other big name among the defensive prospects, McIlrath is the topic of much debate among Ranger fans. The Undertaker is a beast at 6’5″ and 215 lbs and surprised many with a strong showing in training camp before returning to Moose Jaw for what appears to be one final season. McIlrath is one of the most improved prospects in the entire organization. Blessed with size and stength, skating was naturally a concern for McIlrath. Part of his strong showing in training camp was due to his strong development in skating. McIlrath likley needs a season in the AHL before he’s ready for the big show, but another strong showing in camp can prove us otherwise.

Stu Bickel

Oh the curious case of Stu Bickel. One of the major turning points of the season was his ability to step right in and make Mike Sauer’s absence from the lineup tolerable. He bring a physical jam to the lineup that was going to be sorely missed with Sauer out, and the kid did a tremendous job filling in those shoes. Unfortunately for Bickel, he was exploited in the playoffs for being less than stellar with his skating ability. His ice time showed that he lost the trust of his coaching staff. Bickel did a great job, but in the end he is a depth defenseman for this club. Expect him to rotate between bottom pairing duties and the press box.

Pavel Valentenko

Gone to the KHL. So long.

Mikhail Pashnin

Pashnin is another interesting case, as not many know what to make of this defensive defenseman. He is still under contract in the KHL through next season, and it’s unclear whether he will ever come to the NHL. Slava Fetisov publicly called him out last summer for planning on playing in the U.S., and it worked for time being. Reports are that Pashnin won’t come over from the KHL unless he’s guaranteed a roster spot. That’s unlikely to happen, so expecting him to make the club is expecting a lot.

Samuel Noreau

Another player with tremendous size (6’5″, 205 lbs), Noreau has established himself as a premier defender in the high scoring QMJHL on a bottom-feeding Baie-Comeau club. Noreau isn’t going to light up the scoreboard, but the fact that he was able to maintain a positive +/- rating despite playing for a sub-par Baie-Comeau team speaks volumes. His ATO with the Connecticut Whale didn’t yield any playing time. Like most big players, he needs to work on his skating to have any future in the NHL. At just 19 years old, expect Noreau to play one more year in the QMJHL before the Rangers make a decision on him. He projects out to be a depth defenseman.

Jyri Niemi

Niemi is easy to sum up: He spent the majority of this year in the ECHL. Depth at the NHL and AHL level have pushed him off the depth chart. Barring a huge turnaround, he won’t sniff action at the big club.

Blake Parlett

Parlett is a guy that a lot of fans fell in love with at the Traverse City Tournament last summer. He had a strong tournament, but faltered as his second pro season progressed. Despite starting the season in the AHL, Parlett found himself spending time in the ECHL as well. Depth chart issues forced the Whale’s hand with Parlett, who will need a strong preseason to remain at the AHL level. He’s taking the Dan Girardi route to success, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that he will have success. Counting on him as anything more than an AHL player seems risky.

Peter Ceresnak

Ceresnak is a lot like Noreau in the sense that he is a big body (6’3″, 209 lbs) with a need to work on his skating ability. Also like Noreau, Ceresnak’s ATO with Connecticut yielded no playing time. Considering Ceresnak has played just one season in the OHL, it’s premature to really give him a projection. He needs at least one or two more years in the OHL, and will likely need time at the AHL level as well. He also projects out to be a depth defenseman.

 

21 Responses to “Where the defense prospects stand”

  1. Zen says:

    I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Rangers take a d-man with their first pick, given that their are only two worthy players (Erixon, McIlrath) in the whole pipeline, while the forwards seem stacked. It wouldn’t be shocking to see one of them traded soon either, so Gordie Clark needs to do some restocking.

    • Dave says:

      That’s my thinking too. In 2-3 years they might need some young blood to insert into the lineup.

      • Kevin Baumer says:

        I might wait till the 2nd to grab a D, just because it’s such a deep draft for defensemen, they could still grab a solid player in the second. With two top D prospects, I’d be willing to wait a little to draft one Friday. Far fewer quality forwards available.

  2. Bobby G says:

    Realistically, only Erixon and McIlrath seem to have a shot of making it consistently at the NHL level.

    • Dave says:

      Pretty much. I wouldn’t write off Noreau just yet, but he has his work cut out for him.

  3. ranger17 says:

    Bodes well for Stralman and Eminger and Bickel to stay around

    • Dave says:

      I believe Stralman said he’s going back to Europe.

      • Kevin Baumer says:

        Just to be clear, he never flat out said that, but strongly indicated his family wanted him to come back and was leaning that way. A healthy raise might sway him.

  4. Leatherneckinlv says:

    Yet another reason to go hard after Justin Schultz.

  5. Scully says:

    In terms of defensive depth we know who are top 4 will be going into next season (barring trades or injuries).

    We then have a ? surrounding Sauer and three Defensemen – Bickel, Erixon, and McIlrath who are almost NHL ready or NHL ready.

    I wasn’t for resigning Stralman until I realized the dude is only 25! He’s only spent half a season under Torts… a full training camp as well as a Summer to prepare his body for The Rangers’ system could very well jump his game a notch. His defensive zone play makes me cringe but that can be turned around.

    Actually the same could be said for Bickel. His skating ability is suspect but the guy is still developing and it’s not like he’ll be sitting on his ass all summer. I’m sure he’ll come to camp with a chip on his shoulder. If he winds up being a serviceable bottom pairing defenseman who can play 11 minutes a game and bang bodies that’s not too bad.

    The long winded point being that if Stralman is on the roster along with an “unknown depth defenseman” our AHL defensive depth suddenly doesn’t seem so terrible after all. This way Erixon can cut his teeth as a rotating 6th defenseman (or show up ready to steal a spot) and if Sauer ever comes back (which as of right now is a big if), suddenly we’re looking at pretty good depth. Either way I agree, we should draft a defenseman in the 1st or 2nd round.

    • Dave says:

      I’d like to see Stralman back as well, but I don’t think it’s going to happen.

      Bickel may wind up as a depth guy, but he’s a good depth guy to have. Need someone with some toughness to fill in when going up against teams like the Flyers.

  6. Ray says:

    Thanks Dave, for this excellent analysis (and Kevin for the earlier one). A few questions – Regarding Pashnin, are the Rangers under any obligation to get him under contract by a certain day before they lose his rights?
    The lists were incredibly thorough but I noticed Sam Klassen and Danny Hobbs were missing. I got the impression that Klassen is a long shot, but that he is moving forward – unlike say Baldwin, Parlett, Niemi. Hobbs is a forward, so maybe this is unfair, but do you know if the Rangers have written him off (think he is finishing college?)

    • Dave says:

      I didn’t include Klassen because he’s a non-entity at this point. Niemi has a better shot than Klassen.

      • Kevin Baumer says:

        I believe Hobbs will be a free agent this summer. Don’t think the Rangers are interested in keeping him.
        Not quite sure how long they maintain Pashnin’s rights, but it sounded like they wanted him to come over last year and he turned them down. Don’t know what that means for his future, but I don’t really expect to see him in North America.

        • Ray says:

          Thanks to both of you. I don’t really expect to ever see Pashnin in North America either.

      • Leatherneckinlv says:

        Why has Klassen been dropped from your list? He had a good upside to him….What has changed about him?

  7. Tim B says:

    What about Maggio?

    • Ray says:

      I don’t remember the why of this, but he is no longer listed on the Ranger website IN the System list – so the Rangers no longer control his rights.

      • Tim B says:

        ok your right but how come the Rangers control Ilya Gorokhov’s righs if he was drafted in 1995? Is it because Maggio was in the Major Junior or something like that?

        • Ray says:

          I’m not sure precisely what the rules are, but I can come close. The reserved list has three kinds of players on it – signed players, recent draft choices (rights expire), and European players. In the case of Ivan Baranka, who once upon a time played in the Ranger organization and then went to Europe, the rights last as long as he continues to play in Europe. [not so for Jagr, who left as a UFA). I don’t remember if Gorokhov ever signed a contract or not. What I think, and here I am on shakier ground, is that rights are not preserved for players who go to (or stay in) Europe and never sign. Hence Calgary was under the gun and traded Tim Erixon. But we may see Valentenko, Stralman, Zuccarello on the list many years from now.