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Opponent’s scouting report: Craig Anderson

Last week, the Senators looked like a lock for the 7th seed in the East.  So, stupid me decided to preview Craig Anderson as if the Sens weren’t about to go on a three game skid and end up in 8th, and the first round opponent for the Rangers.  Since Anderson will be the guy the Rangers have to solve, we are going to give this bad boy a little bump since it doesn’t seem like many of you guys saw it.

If you didn’t see it the first time, that’s a bad blog reader.  If you did, give it another look and let me know how intimidated you are by Anderson and his 7-3-1 record, 1.87 GAA/.941 SV% and his 2 shutouts (career numbers) against the Rangers. (here’s a hint…I’m not at all intimidated).  Onto the post…

The surprising Ottawa Senators, who many analysts had pegged for a lottery pick this year, find themselves pretty well locked into the 7th spot in the East and a date with the division rival Boston Bruins in the first round back in the playoffs and awaiting a date with the Rangers in the first round.   No small part of Ottawa’s equation this season has been the play of goaltender Craig Anderson.

Anderson has gone through plenty of ups and downs in his career, first traded by Chicago to Florida and working as a backup with the Panthers before signing a 2-year deal in Colorado.  He had a stellar first season in Denver, leading the Av’s to a playoff birth.

His second season did not go nearly as well, and he found himself in Ottawa at the trade deadline last season.  He subsequently signed a 4 year/12.75 million extension last March. Let’s breakdown Anderson’s game, usual categories apply.  General style, strengths, weaknesses, and how the Rangers should approach the matchup.

General style

If you have been reading this series regularly, you know I am all about disclosing my personal feelings about each of these tenders before entering into the analysis.  So, its only fair to tell you I strongly dislike Craig Anderson’s playing style.  For my money he is the worst starting goalie in the NHL.  I will try to remain as impartial as possible while breaking Anderson down, but don’t say I didn’t warn you.

Anderson lies, stylistically speaking, somewhere between Roberto Luongo and Tim Thomas.  He is a relatively big goalie (6ft 2in, 180, with big equipment), and utilizes his size well.  His style sees a combination of a large amount of pure blocking with acrobatics and very little technical foundation.  It is a bizarre mixture for sure, and in the right defensive system can produce results.

There is an unqualified concept in hockey known as the “big save” or the “momentum changing” save.  There are no modern stats (that I’ve been able to track down anyway) that can quantify the effect of this type of play, but it seems to be something of Anderson’s forte.  He is pretty much a lock to possess a G.A.A. north of 2.50 each year, but he has a knack for making the right save at the right time.

Strengths

Anderson’s biggest strength is how big he makes himself in the net.  He doesn’t track the puck particularly well and relies on the puck hitting him more than anything.  He does a pretty decent job at this, but its when he can see through a clear lane that the circus ensues (but we will get to that later).

Anderson is also an above average positional goalie.  This goes hand in hand with his blocking style, as for the puck to hit you on a consistent basis, you need to be in the right spot.  Combine this with above average shootout skills (again, he makes himself huge in the skills competition), and you have the makings for a goalie who can frustratingly shut down an offense.

Weaknesses

The thing about unorthodox goalies is that they have a habit of turning strengths into weaknesses and vice versa.  Anderson is a pretty strong skater, but he does not utilize this skill properly.  He can move laterally competently as well, but he utilizes it incorrectly.  He is an oxymoron with a mask on for all intents and purposes.

Anderson’s blocking style makes him very susceptible to rebounds, and on nights his defense isn’t 100%, it’s not difficult to understand why he is giving up 3-5 goals.  As previously mentioned, the real problems come when Anderson can track the puck.

This is where the Tim Thomas transition comes in.  He flops and flails relentlessly on lateral moving pucks and odd-man rushes.  When the play breaks down, his technical soundness breaks down as well.  Sometimes, this can be a good thing (see the Marc-Andre Fleury post) as it can throw some unpredictability at an offense.  However, there is a point of diminishing returns.

How the Rangers should approach the matchup

Given my low opinion of Anderson’s overall ability, I obviously feel that he can be beaten without a huge problem.  However, since he runs basically the opposing paradigm of other goalies (strong through traffic, weak out in the open), the appropriate game plan is a must.  The name of the game with Anderson is patience.

When a goalie is willing to take himself out of the play by making a desperation type save, the biggest component of his success is timing.  Since gaps close incredibly quickly in the NHL, he relies on these closing windows to limit the offense’s ability to wait out his shenanigans.  The key for the Rangers is to exercise patience and allow him to take himself out of the play, and feast on open nets.

The Sens are a high scoring team with a competent backend, but when looking behind the numbers a little, you can see that Anderson does just about everything he can to make up the difference.  It could be confirmation bias on my part, but I seem to remember a large number of 6-4, and 5-3 wins for Ottawa throughout the course of the season.  If the Sens happen to get by Boston in the first round, the Rangers simply need to do their homework on Anderson and they should be just fine.

The Rangers get their first crack at Anderson tonight at 7pm.

2 Responses to “Opponent’s scouting report: Craig Anderson”

  1. Matt J says:

    There is an unqualified concept in hockey known as the “big save” or the “momentum changing” save. There are no modern stats (that I’ve been able to track down anyway) that can quantify the effect of this type of play, but it seems to be something of Anderson’s forte.

    I was reading over at Brodeur Is A Fraud (yes that’s website name) and he came up with a stat to track down “clutch goalies”. He came up with stats talking about what a goalies Save % or GAA is when the game is tied, down by a goal, or leading by a goal. Interesting stuff. Not exactly what you were maybe looking for but I think if you ran the numbers Anderson would come out pretty good under those stats.

    • The Suit says:

      I doubt Anderson would be at the top of any list for a quality save percentage. Dude has never been among the league’s elite and likely never will.